Default image of European Heat Pump Summit

Germany’s Heat Pump Market: Current Status and Future Outlook

An overview of the German heat pump market: current figures, forecasts, and its dependence on policy frameworks such as subsidies, legislation, and energy prices.

Topic

Challenges & Opportunities in the Markets

When & Where

calendar_month

Tue, 10/28/2025, 10:05 - 10:25

location_on

Hall Brussel

Download session as iCaldownload_for_offline

Details

  • Format:

    Lecture

  • Language:

    English

Session description

The German heating market has shown a steady shift from fossil-based heating systems to heat pumps over the past years. In the new-build sector, this transition is already well advanced: heat pumps now account for around 75 % of all newly installed heating systems.

However, a major development has occurred since 2020—most heat pump installations now take place in existing buildings. This reflects a broader transformation, as decarbonizing the existing building stock is essential to achieving climate targets.

After strong sales peaks in 2022 and 2023, the market experienced a significant setback in 2024. Consumer uncertainty caused by public debates, delays in legislative processes, and unclear subsidy rules led to a sharp decline in demand. This showed just ho ...

Speaker

photo speaker Dr. Björn Schreinermacher
Dr. Björn Schreinermacher
Leiter Politik (Head of Politics)